1 AIT Asian Institute of Technology

Flood forecasting model for the Chao Phraya River

AuthorArellano, Esteban M.
Call NumberAIT Thesis no. 1054
Subject(s)Flood forecasting
NoteA thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirement for the degree of Master of Engineering of the Asian Institute of Technology, Bangkok, Thailand.
PublisherAsian Institute of Technology
AbstractThe development of the Flood Forecasting Model is obtained through the serial connections of the node and Branch, Flood Plain, Grid, and Harmonic Models. Each model plays an important role in the operation of the Flood Forecasting Model on daily flood forecasting on water levels at predetermined gaging stations in the chao Phraya River. The Node and Branch Model describes the flood flow conditions for the river network from the tail of Chao Phraya Darn to Bang Sai. The Flood Plain Models control the flow exchanges between the river channel and off stream flood plains through the uses of submerged or non-submerged weir equations . The Grid Model describes the flood flow conditions for the channel reach from Bang Sai down to the river mouth at Fort Chula near the Gulf of Thailand. The Harmonic Model generates the predicted hourly sea level variations at Fort Chula through the method of harmonic analysis. The numerical solutions of the unsteady free surface continuity and momentum equations for the Node and Branch Model are obtained through the Gauss Seidel Technique of iteration. Solution of flood plain water level and volume is obtained through the storage routing equation and weir equations describing the flow exchanges between the river and flood plains. Through the process of linearization by applying the finite difference approximations of the implicit scheme, a system of finite difference continuity and momentum equations are obtained for the Grid Model computation. In the Harmonic Model, the tidal variations at the river mouth are expressed as the summation of sine wave having different phases, amplitudes, and periods for various predominating constituents. Through appropriate calibration of the Flood Forecasting Model in the 1975 and 1970 flood flow data, the river channel and flood plain characteristics of the Node and Branch, Flood Plain and Grid Models are determined. The model is then used to perform flood forecasting operation for the various gaging stations along the Chao Phraya River. The daily flood forecasting on water levels, for 5 days in advance, consisted of a back-up and forecasting computations. The results of the study signified a reliable performance of the model.
Year1978
TypeThesis
SchoolStudent Research Before 1979
DepartmentOther Field of Studies (No Department)
Academic Program/FoSThesis (Year <=1979)
Chairperson(s)Arbhabhirama Anat
Examination Committee(s) Tawatchai Tingsanchali ; Selvalingam, Selvadore
Scholarship Donor(s)Netherlands
DegreeThesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1978


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