1 AIT Asian Institute of Technology

Quantitative model for country risk analysis

AuthorCarlos, Espinal G.
Call NumberAIT Thesis no. IE-87-01
Subject(s)Risk--Mathematical models

NoteA thesis report submitted in partial fulfillment of t he requirements for the degree of Master of Engineering, School of Engineering and Technology
PublisherAsian Institute of Technology
Series StatementThesis ; no. IE-87-01
AbstractCountry risk analysis is one of the most important analytical tools used by private lending institutions and investors in determining the creditworthiness of a particular country. Banks use country risk analysis to enable them to outperform the market, to remain or become a leading institution in the industry and to evaluate risk exposures. A risk level for a particular country will be determined, from a set of selected countries, using a weighted additive model where the independent attributes are obtained from the socio-economic data of such countries. The purpose of this research work is to discuss international creditworthiness evaluation systems and to develop a dynamic mathematical model for country risk analysis based on past performance and estimations of key socio-economic ratios in selected countries, the model developed is applied to a selected set of countries to make an assessment of the individual risk levels.
Year1987
Corresponding Series Added EntryAsian Institute of Technology. Thesis ; no. IE-87-01
TypeThesis
SchoolSchool of Engineering and Technology
DepartmentOther Field of Studies (No Department)
Academic Program/FoSIndustrial Engineering (IE)
Chairperson(s)Tang, John C.S.;
Examination Committee(s)Oudheusden, Dirk L. van ;Tabucanon, Mario T. ;
DegreeThesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1987


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