1 AIT Asian Institute of Technology

Modelling of share prices on the securities exchange of Thailand

AuthorKulatilaka, Condagamage Vajira
Call NumberAIT RSPR no. IE-87-8
Subject(s)Capital stock--Thailand
NoteA research study report submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Engineering, School of Engineering and Technology
PublisherAsian Institute of Technology
AbstractThis paper reports on a modelling exercise undertaken for the stock prices in the Securities Exchange of Thailand, using linear regression analysis. The stock prices were regressed initially with macro economic variables and in the second stage residuals obtained from first stage were regressed on micro economic variables. The models were used to forecast the stock prices and a comparison was made with the actual values . It was revealed from this study that economic variables have a significant impact on the Stock prices in Thailand. The bulk of the nondiversifiable risk is due to interest rate on savings accounts and growth in Gross National Product. This fact was confirmed by the models for the sectoral indices. The models developed can be used to forecast the stock prices in the long run with reasonable accuracy.
Year1987
TypeResearch Study Project Report (RSPR)
SchoolSchool of Engineering and Technology (SET)
DepartmentOther Field of Studies (No Department)
Academic Program/FoSIndustrial Engineering (IE)
Chairperson(s)Frausum, Yves G. Van
Examination Committee(s)Tang, John C.S. ;Vanchai Ariyabuddhipongs
Scholarship Donor(s)Royal Thai Government
DegreeResearch Studies Project Report (M. Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1987


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