| Author | Yunn Aykare |
| Call Number | AIT Caps. Proj. no.CIE-17-66 |
| Subject(s) | Climatic changes--Myanmar--Sagaing
|
| Note | A capstone project report submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Bachelor of Science in Engineering Civil And Infrastructure Engineering, School of Engineering and Technology |
| Publisher | Asian Institute of Technology |
| Series Statement | Caps. Proj. ; no. CIE-17-66 |
| Abstract | Climate change has a various degree of impacts on various sectors and scales Understanding
likely future climatic scenario may help develop strategies to cope with the adverse impacts
of climate change. This study therefore aims to project future precipitation and temperatures
of Sagaing; one of the famous city in Myanmar.
It uses future precipitation and temperature from two regional circulation models (RCMs),
namely, ACCEES1 and CNRM-CM5-CSIROCCAM for the 2050s and 2080s periods un-
der two representative concentration pathways (RCP) scenarios (i.e., RCP4.5 and RCP8.5).
Biases in the RCM-driven data were collected using three methods (i.e., Linear Scaling,
Variance Scaling, and Local Intensity Scaling) based on observed data for the period of
1983-2012 collected from Department of Meteorology and Hydrology (DMH), Myanmar.
Results show variations in projected rainfall and temperature for different RCMs. Linear
Scaling method performed relatively better for correcting bias in temperature data and Local
Intensity Scaling method for rainfall. As per the results, future maximum temperature is
projected to increase to 38-45oC in April and minimum temperature is projected to increase
from 14oC to 19oC (for both scenarios). The precipitation is projected to increase 7.2mm in
the 2050s and 6mm in the 2080s above the baseline under RCP4.5. September is expected
to receive maximum projected rainfall under both scenarios |
| Year | 2017 |
| Corresponding Series Added Entry | Asian Institute of Technology. Caps. Proj. ; no. CIE-17-66 |
| Type | Capstone Project |
| School | School of Engineering and Technology (SET) |
| Department | Department of Civil and Infrastucture Engineering (DCIE) |
| Academic Program/FoS | Civil and Infrastructure Engineering (CIE) |
| Chairperson(s) | Pandey, Vishnu Prasad; |
| Examination Committee(s) | Shrestha, Sangam;Bhujel, Ram; |
| Degree | Capstone Project (B.Sc.)-Asian Institute of Technology, 2017 |