1 AIT Asian Institute of Technology

Risk identification and the application of influence diagram models for the MRTA initial system project

AuthorKakemoto, Hiroyuki
Call NumberAIT Thesis no. ST-98-28
Subject(s)Risk assessment--Thailand
Subways--Thailand
Local transit--Risk assessment

NoteA thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Engineering
PublisherAsian Institute of Technology
AbstractLast decades many Japanese contractors have aggressively extended foreign market especially in South East Asia because of their huge demand of infrastructure in conjunction with their rapid economic growth. However recent economic crisis spreading to these region and subsequent political and social turmoil might have forced contractors to rethink their strategy and also reminded the importance of risk management. In such circumstance MRTA Initial System Project, first subway project in Bangkok, was awarded to the joint venture consisting of Thai and Japanese contractors. This project is predicted to involve many technical, managerial, contractual or political uncertainties other than above economic uncertainty. By preliminary study, current project cost is estimated to have certain increase compared with the estimation at bidding stage. Such increase are assumed to incur due to above risks. On the basis of such assumption, this thesis intends to identify above risks involved in each cost, i.e. material, equipment, subcontractor cost of both tunnel and station project, and apply "influence diagram method" to analyze their impact to such cost quantitatively, then assess whether such method is appropriate for the future monitoring of this project.
Year1998
TypeThesis
SchoolSchool of Civil Engineering
DepartmentDepartment of Civil and Infrastucture Engineering (DCIE)
Academic Program/FoSStructural Engineering (STE) /Former Name = Structural Engineering and Construction (ST)
Chairperson(s)Minato, Takayuki
Examination Committee(s)Ogunlana, Stephen O.;Shibuya, S.;
Scholarship Donor(s)Oversea Construction Association of Japan Inc.;
DegreeThesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1998


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