Projection of future temperature changes in the Wangchhu River Basin, Bhutan | |
| Author | Wangchuk, Kinlay |
| Call Number | AIT Caps. Proj. no.CIE-15-04 |
| Subject(s) | Climate change mitigation--Wangchhu River Basin (Bhutan) Water temperature--Wangchhu River Basin (Bhutan) |
| Note | A capstone project report submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Bachelor of Science in Engineering Civil and Infrastructure Engineering, School of Engineering and Technology |
| Publisher | Asian Institute of Technology |
| Series Statement | Caps. Proj. ; no. CIE-15-04 |
| Abstract | The impact of climate change is well known, however unforeseen. To cope with the uncertainties associated to climate change, it is important to strengthen the platform for effective planning and policy framework. Bhutan is vulnerable to the adverse impacts of climate change. It is hence essential that climate change impact assessment at regional and local scales are needed to assess how different regions are affected. This study aims to project the future temperature changes in the Wang Chhu river Basin in Bhutan under future scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 developed by IPCC. The Quantile mapping Bias correction method was used to correct the bias of maximum and minimum temperature. The future projection period of average 30 years classified into 2020s (2006-2035), 2050s (2036-2075), and 2080s (2076- 2095) were used to analyze the temperature projection in the Wang Chhu River Basin. The results indicate an increase in average annual temperature throughout the 21st century for all three future time periods under both the scenarios. The average annual Tmean is expected to increase by 1:6 °C and 2:6 °C by the 2080s under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 respectively. It is observed that the average spring temperature is projected to show no difference relative to the baseline period in the 2020s under RCP4.5. However winter season indicate an increase in average temperature of 0:3 °C 2:4 °C, increase of 0:9 °C 2:6 °C in the summer followed by Autumn season with an increase of 1:2 °C 2:8 °C. |
| Year | 2015 |
| Corresponding Series Added Entry | Asian Institute of Technology. Caps. Proj. ; no. CIE-15-04 |
| Type | Capstone Project |
| School | School of Engineering and Technology (SET) |
| Department | Department of Civil and Infrastucture Engineering (DCIE) |
| Academic Program/FoS | Civil and Infrastructure Engineering (CIE) |
| Chairperson(s) | Shrestha, Sangam; |
| Examination Committee(s) | Shrestha, Rajendra Prasad; |
| Degree | Capstone Project (B.Sc.)-Asian Institute of Technology, 2015 |