Impact assessment of future urban growth in areas with cultural heritage | |
| Author | Togarepi, Phyllis Ropafadzo |
| Call Number | AIT Thesis no.UWEM-16-01 |
| Subject(s) | Urbanization--Social aspects Cities and town--Growth |
| Note | A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Urban Water Engineering and Management jointly offered by the Asian Institute of Technology, Thailand and UNESCO-IHE, The Netherlands |
| Publisher | Asian Institute of Technology |
| Series Statement | Thesis ; no. UWEM-16-01 |
| Abstract | Land use transition into urban is known to inflict considerable impacts on the society, economy, cultural heritage and the environment. Some of the impacts of urban growth have not yet been felt before but are envisaged to become extremely unfavorable and to some extent irretrievable. In response to the urban growth concern, this study applied a DPSIR framework to explore the drivers of land use change, pressures, state of urban growth, impacts and the responses in two cities with cultural heritage. Ayutthaya and Genoa cities were selected based on their exemplary characteristics . The study combined remote sensing techniques, GIS based tools, statistics and spatial explicit modelling. Remote sensed scenes were utilised to analyse the past land use change and to frame the basis on which plausible future urban growth scenarios were simulated using Dinamica EGO, a Cellular Automata based modelling environment. Simulation of urb an growth in 30 years allowed an opportunity to explore the possible outcomes of three defined possible scenarios namely, business as usual, sprawl and compact growth. The possible future scenarios were based on socio - economic priorities and had a bearing on the urban driven land use change. In Ayutthaya , predictive analysis results indicated that greater population influenced a greater GDP per capita, while the opposite was true for Genoa. The city of Genoa’s main land transition between 1990 and 2006 was in transforming a residential area to industry. Land transition to industry was at a rate of 0.05%. Results from analyzing both cities suggested that significant growth would be experienced that have potential to cause gentrification around cultural heritage sites, impact the watershed hydrology, fragmentation of landscapes, changing demand for water supply and increase the costs of supplying basic water supply and waste water drainage services to new development areas . |
| Year | 2016 |
| Corresponding Series Added Entry | Asian Institute of Technology. Thesis ; no. UWEM-16-01 |
| Type | Thesis |
| School | School of Engineering and Technology |
| Department | Department of Civil and Infrastucture Engineering (DCIE) |
| Academic Program/FoS | Urban Water Engineering and Management (UWEM) |
| Chairperson(s) | Babel, Mukand Singh;Vojinović, Zoran |
| Examination Committee(s) | Hammond, Michael;Torres, Arlex Sanchez;Sutat Weesakul;Vilas Nitivattananon |
| Scholarship Donor(s) | Netherlands Fellowship Programme |
| Degree | Thesis (M. Sc.) - Asian Institute of Technology - UNESCO-IHE, 2016 |